Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 8.843669 10.419861 12.153033 14.194451 16.527065 19.103007 22.156503
2025-01-26 6.933008 9.088716 11.677118 14.989420 19.088286 23.965101 30.174584
2025-02-02 5.657720 8.108333 11.271914 15.599637 21.301816 28.487411 38.144897
2025-02-09 4.812078 7.446524 11.063580 16.295129 23.551961 33.130099 46.568118
2025-02-16 3.977661 6.613062 10.443518 16.271599 24.736789 36.375955 53.328627
2025-02-23 3.218473 5.734974 9.597328 15.761048 25.104606 38.441807 58.538356
2025-03-02 2.599231 4.953956 8.762102 15.120050 25.150544 39.972046 63.008815
2025-03-09 2.231251 4.518073 8.392843 15.124027 26.117955 42.853053 69.560544
2025-03-16 1.938678 4.159588 8.092491 15.183250 27.142090 45.848787 76.429077
2025-03-23 1.680842 3.817570 7.767645 15.148767 27.983912 48.584940 83.029924
2025-03-30 1.391470 3.359669 7.168612 14.559071 27.826385 49.694651 87.113515
2025-04-06 1.219687 3.110049 6.919385 14.557828 28.653551 52.423386 93.905566
2025-04-13 1.062333 2.867460 6.660360 14.526122 29.452494 55.207211 101.047462
2025-04-20 1.005256 2.842228 6.834696 15.340342 31.842820 60.836676 113.245313
2025-04-27 0.935689 2.774358 6.910228 15.963919 33.923820 66.051114 125.018346
2025-05-04 0.879371 2.728390 7.025098 16.673764 36.213942 71.755814 137.916838
2025-05-11 0.775851 2.539910 6.798670 16.649859 37.082135 74.964361 146.626652
2025-05-18 0.654791 2.276921 6.363075 16.129031 36.920127 76.276746 152.034653
2025-05-25 0.544492 2.017047 5.893677 15.475040 36.422139 76.915185 156.235206
2025-06-01 0.483482 1.888869 5.726981 15.479100 37.267371 80.110647 165.228385
2025-06-08 0.432405 1.779560 5.591925 15.539529 38.229772 83.574309 174.871916
2025-06-15 0.383384 1.664729 5.425032 15.504344 38.978773 86.655293 183.932207
2025-06-22 0.319808 1.481902 5.044131 14.902624 38.433368 87.138657 188.067035